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Datum objave: 30.08.2020
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Kennedy scrambles to close gap in Massachusetts

Trailing in the polls, the young congressman needs to turn things around quickly in his primary bid against Sen. Ed Markey.

2020 ELECTIONS
Kennedy scrambles to close gap in Massachusetts



https://www.politico.com/news/2020/08/30/joe-kennedy-massachusetts-senate-primary-404936



Trailing in the polls, the young congressman needs to turn things around quickly in his primary bid against Sen. Ed Markey.


BOSTON — Just two years ago, Joe Kennedy’s star was so bright that he was asked to deliver the Democratic Party’s response to Donald Trump’s State of the Union speech. Now, if he can’t turn things around before Tuesday’s Massachusetts Senate primary, he’ll be out of politics.


A handful of recent polls show the 39-year-old congressman trailing incumbent Sen. Ed Markey — the septuagenarian incumbent whose campaign is improbably powered by younger progressive voters. Among voters under the age of 35, one of those polls reports, Markey is leading Kennedy by an almost 2-to-1 margin.
Markey's supporters also champion his work on the Telecommunications Act of 1996, which President Bill Clinton signed before many of them were born. Kennedy, however, has sought to make that telecommunications law a blemish on Markey's record by cutting a campaign ad featuring a union official walking around Markey's hometown of Malden listing the ways the law hurt union workers. Amplifying that message, another pro-Kennedy union often drives a truck past Markey's daily outdoor events with a sign that reads, "ED MARKEY… WHY DID YOU SELL OUT WORKING FAMILIES?" The truck plays an ice cream truck jingle, a jab at Markey's old summer job.
Behind the scenes, in conversations with reporters, Kennedy's advisers have sought to cast doubt on the accuracy of the recent polling — some of which puts Markey’s lead in double digits.


Publicly, Kennedy’s campaign manager said the race is "neck-and-neck" in a memo to supporters about the raft of new survey data.


"Our internal modeling shows a very tight race and — most critically — one that is trending in Joe's direction in the final stretch," spokesperson Emily Kaufman wrote on Twitter.


But a few days later, Kennedy told a television reporter he didn't trust even his own pollster.


"With all due respect to any pollster at the moment, I wouldn't trust any of them. I don't trust my own," Kennedy told television station WPRI. "The closer you are to this race and the closer you talk to some of those pollsters that I think are following what's happening, they'll also say 'We don't know, best guess.'"


Kennedy has a point — Massachusetts rolled out a new coronavirus-inspired vote-by-mail system for the primary, which has added a considerable amount of uncertainty to the campaign.


While the consensus is that Kennedy remains within striking distance, critics are already celebrating the end of an era. “The Kennedy dynasty may be well and truly over,” the New York Post headlined.


“END OF AN ERROR” splashed the Boston Herald, accompanied by a picture of Kennedy.


One point of concern for Kennedy is Markey’s cash advantage: The incumbent has around $2 million more than Kennedy in the final days of the race, despite the fact that the young congressman began the race by outraising him in quarter after quarter.
But Kennedy spent $2.4 million of that campaign cash on television ads in the spring. Ceding his cash advantage — in January, Kennedy had $5.5 stashed million in the bank, compared with $1.4 million now — is a move many of his supporters now view as a mistake.
Recognizing his deficit, Kennedy is scrambling. He criss-crossed the state on a 27-hour campaign day last week and has sharpened his criticism of his rival. In addition to whacking Markey for the behavior of his "toxic" online supporters, Kennedy has accused the senator of misrepresenting his legislative record for political gain, criticized his work on racial justice and pointed out times he failed to get results for his constituents.


Kennedy’s campaign believes Markey has an advantage among voters who have already cast ballots by mail — namely white, well-educated voters in the suburbs — but that high turnout on primary day would lend itself to Kennedy.


“Don’t count him out. We’re feeling good,” Kaufman said. “We see a lot of gas in our tank still. [Markey’s] votes are mostly in. We have the opportunity, and now responsibility, to get our people out.”


The congressman’s focus in the final days of the race will be to turn out a diverse coalition of voters who will vote in person in cities like Lowell, Springfield and Worcester, among others.


Kennedy has also called in the cavalry — House colleagues are pulling out all the stops for him. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi made an unexpected endorsement of Kennedy, and days later drew almost 600 of his supporters for a get-out-the-vote rally on Zoom. Reps. Al Green of Texas and Adriano Espaillat of New York traveled to Massachusetts to hit the campaign trail with Kennedy this week, hoping to spark turnout among voters of color.


Pelosi also provided a financial bump for the congressman. Kennedy raised $100,000 within a day of Pelosi's endorsement, according to his campaign. But Markey, who’s assembled a potent small-dollar fundraising operation, says he raised four times that amount — $400,000 — in the 24 hours after Pelosi weighed in, much of it from progressives frustrated with Pelosi’s decision to intervene.


While Kennedy shied away from discussing his famous political family for most of the campaign, the family is now out in force. Vicki Kennedy, the widow of the late Sen. Ted Kennedy, is campaigning for her great-nephew over the weekend. Kennedy's grandmother, Ethel Kennedy, the widow of the late Sen. Robert F. Kennedy, recently cut a video in support of her grandson.
"I hope with all my heart you'll vote for Joe. I'm so proud of him," Ethel Kennedy says in the video. "He reminds me of Bobby and Jack and Teddy. … He's so very special."


A pro-Kennedy super PAC is also leaning into the Kennedy nostalgia, sending campaign mail and airing television ads that feature famed members of the Kennedy family.
"For Joe Kennedy, this fight is in his blood," reads a piece of campaign mail that features side-by-side photos of the candidate and Robert Kennedy.


The New Leadership PAC, organized in part by Kennedy's twin brother and other family members, has spent over $4 million in support of the congressman and is airing ads attacking Markey. United for Massachusetts, a pro-Markey super PAC, is not far behind, dumping $3.3 million into the race on Markey's behalf.


Part of the reason Kennedy now finds himself the underdog, some supporters concede, is that he never articulated a reason for challenging the incumbent or told his personal story. Polls show Kennedy — who was once considered the favorite — has not lost support over the course of his campaign so much as Markey has gradually gained it.


Kennedy has now pivoted to a closing message that focuses on inequality, citing people he met on the campaign trail who are facing challenges, such as an undocumented mother and a struggling restaurant owner.


"Here is my message to those who have tried to make this Senate race about ideology. This race is not about that, it's about them," he said in a speech in East Boston on Friday.


"Not one person in those cities, not one, has asked me why I'm running for Senate," Kennedy said. "The only thing they ask is what can you do to make this better? And when I need you, will you be there?"




Nancy Pelosi endorses Joe Kennedy in Senate primary against Ed Markey
https://www.masslive.com/politics/2020/08/nancy-pelosi-endorses-joe-kennedy-in-senate-primary-against-ed-markey.html




Speaker Nancy Pelosi Endorses Congressman Joe Kennedy III
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=blu2QC_GNw0&feature=emb_title
Nancy Pelosi is a force. No one has done more to take on Donald Trump and build our Party’s future. Proud and humbled to have her with me in this fight.




Conor Lamb votes for Joe Kennedy, not Nancy Pelosi, for House speaker
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sntgpnO9WGs
Democratic U.S. Rep. Conor Lamb kept his campaign promise and did not vote for Nancy Pelosi, who was still elected Speaker of the House on Thursday.




Q&A with Rep. Joe Kennedy III
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vg305nrw-5o
Massachusetts Congressman Joseph Kennedy III, grandson of Robert F. Kennedy, is stepping into the national spotlight. "CBS This Morning" co-host Gayle King talks with Kennedy about following in the family tradition of politics; his stands on healthcare reform and gun control; "ChapStick-gate"; and speculation about the White House.



US Senate Debate: Joe Kennedy vs. Ed Markey

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TjP9r9QF1J8


Sen. Ed Markey and his challenger, U.S. Rep. Joe Kennedy III, faced off for an hour Sunday night, each aiming to take a step ahead with just five weeks before the Sept. 1 primary. From quick questions on coronavirus to complex inquires on immigration, the debate, held inside our NBC Universal Boston Media Center, was heated, and, at times, personal.




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